Sunday, August 28, 2022

Narrative Warfare: On The Trail Of The New Black Hand

Over the last week, the Russian Federation identified their primary suspect in the assassination attempt on Alexander Dugin that got his daughter instead. She was a Ukrainian woman by the name of Natalya Vovk.

Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) has made public a video of Ukrainian national Natalya Vovk, identified as the prime suspect in Saturday’s car bombing that killed journalist Darya Dugina in Moscow. The footage published Monday shows Vovk and her teenage daughter entering Russia, inside the building where Dugina lived, and leaving the country in haste.

Vovk, 43, was named by the FSB on Monday as the prime suspect in the assassination of Dugina. The Ukrainian national arrived in Russia on July 23, using Donetsk People’s Republic license plates to avoid scrutiny. While in Moscow, she swapped the plates on her Mini Cooper to those of Kazakhstan, a friendly former Soviet republic. On Sunday, after the bombing, Vovk drove to Estonia with Ukrainian plates, the FSB said.

If you were expecting the hitter to get hit by a cleaner, you'd be correct.

However, this is disputed as of this post. (If confirmed before next week, I will edit this post to reflect confirmation.) Until such confirmation is made, the smart move is to presume Vovk is alive and on the move.

Now I turn your attention to the hit.

Put plainly, she had help, and by "help" I mean some form of Western Intelligence assistence- likely through another cutout to maintain plausible deniability. The videos that were released showed that she barely had enough going on between her ears to push through a border crossing without getting into trouble. If not for the incredibly fortunate turn of being lodged in the victim's home--talk about implausible--there was no way this car bombing would have worked at all.

Someone got just inside enough to get access to the car. Being next door or across the street would do, so long as you could arrange access to the car for a long enough time to install the charge and the detonator.

Whether or not she did the planting or set the charge off--by timer, by remote detonation, whatever--is irrelevant. She's been fingered, and she's likely involved materially in any case regardless of being the triggerman or not.

Which means that the Russians want her alive, and her handlers want her dead. She's now a loose end, and a disposable asset needs be disposed lest things go wrong.

The problem, in the short to medium term, is that it is unlikely to matter to most if she tells the truth or not due to the entire mental space being flooded with Narrative Warfare chaff due to (a) who has the material interest in keeping up a favorable narrative and (b) the fact that the truth benefits a party hostile to Globohomo and thus Empire.

Even if Vovk is taken alive, even if she reveals all that she knows, and even if what she reveals is independently confirmed it will not matter because the Thralls' command of the attention of the Western masses is sufficient to drown out the signal in a mess of cognitive noise for the forseeable future.

This would not be the first time that Thralls have done this. It would not be the first time this year.

Yet that noise must be pushed through, because--like the Black Hand's assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand--this could still turn into a World War. Empire falls (but it doesn't have to kill most of it to do it).

Sunday, August 21, 2022

Narrative Warfare: This Time They Missed The ArchDuke And Got The Duchess

Fucking Guns of August, man.

I do not know who did this. I do not care who did this. All that matters is the most likely consequence, which is that Russia takes the gloves off and goes HARD-ASS MOTHERFUCKER on Ukraine.

The truth will sort itself out, as it always does, and I give even odds of this being Glowie faggotry and being an inside job at this point; as details come out and get verified independently, those odds will shift one way or the other, but it's not likely to matter either way.

If this angers the Russian nation, and if the Russian government take it as such, then said government has the pretext needed to escalate its involvement from a Special Operation to open war and with it full mobiliation of the military and the state to a wartime footing.

That, boys and girls, means World War 3.

Sunday, August 14, 2022

When Two Different Things Turn Out To Be Complimentary

Taken from Anonymous Conservative's blog post for today:

Republicans are coming under fire for opposing the creation of 87,000 heavily armed IRS agents tasked with auditing the population, and the media is leading the charge against them. Growing up I had a neighbor. Nice guy to my family, I considered them close family friends. He is the really successful one who suddenly got paranoid about cars driving by, then his house burned down a couple of times, he put up fences, and security cameras and security systems and went to this renown place to get a trained German Shepherd, where it cost an arm and a leg. Ultimately, years later, when I encountered the surveillance, I called him, because he was plugged in and I thought he might know something, and he would not say a word on the phone, and later was trying to get info out of me. I realized later, they had sent him in once before to get close with info he shouldn’t have had, so apparently he eventually gave up and joined them. But the point was he had IRS troubles back around when his house burned down, and his accountant told him he knew the agent, and an envelope full of cash could make it all go away, and lo and behold, it did. I assume now it was part of the recruitment process. You have to be careful out there. They are everywhere.

I have good reason to accept that AC is correct about the presence of an international surveilance network, one that straddles the East/West line, and is not centered in any one official agency.

I also have good reason to accept Gonzolo Lira's explanation that the appearance of conspiracy is explained by having insitutional capture ensure that those credentialed for Empire's key institutions--public and private--are indoctrinated into Thralldom from an early age.

The two positions are complimentary, not contradictory.

The proof comes from Richard Grove and his circles, who have gone deep into the primary resources of Thralls now very old or long dead such as Edward Bernays or Klaus Schawb. There is an elite cohort that know what they are doing, and why they are doing it, and they go so far as to publish the beliefs driving their decisions in full knowledge that most people will never read them- and that not all that do read them will comprehend what they read.

In short, the Thralls' age-old contempt for Mankind as a herd of cattle to be yoked and managed is not hard to find. What is galling is to see confirmation of Yuri Bezimnov's statement about demoralization: you can show people the very words of the elites to them, in full and complete context, and they still will not accept it.

That's solid proof of the "secret masters" angle.

Now the "surveilance network" is harder, because while people will readily accept it when presenting as a thing done Over There or Long Ago, there is stubborn resistance to it being a thing Here and Now- until you point out that people can and do pull this shit off for far more petty and personal motivations on a depressing basis.

From that basis, it becomes easier to show people how something so simple as outright nepotism and corruption can easily be formalized into an intelligence network that functions across vast territories and across generations- such as how CCP officials have already become the new aristocracy of mainland China, hold entire institutions as personal fiefdoms, and recruit/intermarry among themselves to lock down power and extract disgusting amounts of wealth via corruption of all sorts.

That CCP example? Not hard to find Western mirrors. Not from the right family? Never getting that acceptance into the intake insitutions for elite power or wealth, and if you have actual talent or potential and they find you unable to be suborned into their network, you're derailed and shut out permanently. If the indoctrination and profiling didn't filter you out--which is Lira's explanation for Western elites--then being from the wrong class, family, etc. can do it as those are tiebreakers. There is no meritocracy under Empire.

Now you have a couple more things to consider when you see inexplicable stupidity like abolishing SAT requirements or how some pants-on-head retard got to be Secretary of State.

No serious power network is going to allow itself to be so easily mapped; that's why a key aspect to dealing with rival powers is to map out their actual power networks prior to conducting operations to defeat that network. The combination of networks and institutional capture is part of those actual power networks, so you have reliable start points for a mapping operation, but you may be surprised to find that the man who is installed as the head of an institution isn't the actual shot-caller for it. (e.g. Victoria Nuland is the true shot-caller for American foreign policy, despite not holding that position formally; she has power without authority).

This unwillingness to accept this is a major problem with dissident resistance.

Until dissidents accept this as reality and start acting accordingly, results will always be mixed at best since you're not hitting the actual point of importance.

Correct this, and Empire falls.

Sunday, August 7, 2022

A Tiger That Roars Often Has No Muscles

This past week, it became clear to observers that the CCP is Globohomo East and they are nothing more than a rival power center striving for control of Empire. It also became clear that, aside from being relentless about its propaganda and speedy in cozying up to prospetive suckers for scamming, it's not that good at anything but beating the shit about its own population.

The reality is that the CCP is a paper tiger. If it wasn't for its savvy at subversion, it would be as the 19th Century Manchu Dynasty or the very weak Republic governments were, and that "Century of Humiliation" would be approach the plural. That's still in the cards.

For all the bluster about Speaker Pelosi and her Taiwan visit, the CCP did not do the world a solid and make good on their threat to take her out. That's because the central power of the CCP is not stupid. Petty, corrupt, venal, and greedy- but not stupid. Those old men know damn well what killing Pelosi, or even so much as forcing her out of Taiwan, would mean and they do not want this.

Gonzolo Lira, like many dissidents, fails to account for the fact that the CCP (a) has absolute control over all media in China and (b) maintains a propaganda network modelled upon the old Soviet model of influence agents. This is why he has no problems going on George Galloway's shows (he's a CCP asset, as he's tied to CGTN, a CCP-controlled outlet) and uncritically parrots CCP positions on Chinese economic and military capabilities despite evidence to the contrary- something that ADV China (now "The China Show") has shone, along with other China watcher channels. Such as this:

That "rifle" has no rifling. That's why those bullet holes look wrong; the bullets are tumbling in flight, are not stable, and might as well be oddly-shaped musket balls. In Close Quarters, like indoors, that may not matter. It does at any distance greater than the effective range for a pistol or shotgun pellets, which is what any rifle or carbine is meant to perform at. We call this problem "keyholing", and it's a reliable tell that the firearm in general is shit quality and can't be presumed safe to use.

In other words, "tofu-dreg" applies to the Chinese military too.

That means that those impressive carriers aren't that impressive. Same with their jets; they don't engage enemy air forces for reasons beyond politics, folks. Those vaunted hypersonic missiles? Don't expect the Chinese to make reliable ones anytime soon, if they can actually make them at all.

Remeber that this is the military that got its ass kicked by the Vietnamese after the Americans left Vietnam, when the NVA were depleated and rebuilding. Not their best, folks, and as such I'd still put the American military above the PLA despite how bad the Americans have gotten.

There is another consideration, which I'll quote the thread-starter for, and involves the Sino-Japanese War (and how badly Japan wrecked China).

The CCP, being somewhat like previous dynasties and thus insular in its thinking, is likely thinking in terms of the Sino-Japanese War. Sure, that war ultimately brought the CCP to power, but those that began in leadership did not benefit from it- and the current CCP leadership, being keenly aware of this fact, are also aware that they are now in the same positions as those their predecessors replaced.

They do not want this. Any war, even a war they win, is Pyrrhic as far as they're concerned since they have good reason to believe that they'll get taken out early by either conventional or nuclear means. The dead cannot enjoy wealth, power, or privledge, so they are unwilling to risk losing theirs; a conflict has to be truly existential for them to overcome their fear of mortality.

This applies to both the Jiang Zemin and the Xi Jinping factions. The loss of Face is too much for either side to bear, and as generational turnover churns out those unsavvy about Face culture and the CCP in the West (and Western Thralls see their Eastern counterparts as rivals to put down, not allies to collaborate with) we'll see this "Pivot to Asia" not only accelerate but actually become effective.

The result is that, unlike Russia, China will be revealed to be a fragile paper tiger for all to see and with this loss of Face the CCP's internal divisions will shatter and the long-theorized collpase will occur. There may or may not be civil war in China, but there will be unrest and with it a massive migration wave; dissidents with foresight will move to seize power as soon as possible and close their borders to mainlanders and those sympathetic to them, as this will amount to defacto colonization, as we see in Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, Canada, Australia, the United States, and other countries with significant mainlander intake. It is for the best to force the mainlanders to sort their shit out instead of letting anyone run from their problems.

As for what dissidents should do with this? Again:

Instead, exploit this opportunity to seize as much power as possible and begin push the Thralls in your area to focus on their rivals while purging them from whatever you took from them. They did this very thing to us; turnabout is Fair Play.

Let Globohomo exhaust itself with infighting, then fall upon them when whomever is left is at their lowest. It is a strategy that Sun Tzu would approve of. Empire falls.