Sunday, February 4, 2024

Narrative Warfare: Cope Du Bagette

The Supreme Dark Lord boosted a book coming soon from a French colonel called The Russian Art of War, which can be found here. One look (and I quote the same passage Vox did) shows so much cope on display.

Throughout the Cold War period, the Soviet Union saw itself as the spearhead of a historical struggle that would lead to a confrontation between the “capitalist” system and “progressive forces.” This perception of a permanent and inescapable war led the Soviets to study war in a quasi-scientific way, and to structure this thinking into an architecture of military thought that has no equal in the Western world.

The problem with the vast majority of our so-called military experts is their inability to understand the Russian approach to war. It is the result of an approach we have already seen in waves of terrorist attacks—the adversary is so stupidly demonized that we refrain from understanding his way of thinking. As a result, we are unable to develop strategies, articulate our forces, or even equip them for the realities of war. The corollary of this approach is that our frustrations are translated by unscrupulous media into a narrative that feeds hatred and increases our vulnerability. We are thus unable to find rational, effective solutions to the problem.

The way Russians understand conflict is holistic. In other words, they see the processes that develop and lead to the situation at any given moment. This explains why Vladimir Putin’s speeches invariably include a return to history. In the West, we tend to focus on X moment and try to see how it might evolve. We want an immediate response to the situation we see today. The idea that “from the understanding of how the crisis arose comes the way to resolve it” is totally foreign to the West. In September 2023, an English-speaking journalist even pulled out the “duck test” for me: “if it looks like a duck, swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s probably a duck.” In other words, all the West needs to assess a situation is an image that fits their prejudices. Reality is much more subtle than the duck model….

The reason the Russians are better than the West in Ukraine is that they see the conflict as a process; whereas we see it as a series of separate actions. The Russians see events as a film. We see them as photographs. They see the forest, while we focus on the trees. That is why we place the start of the conflict on February 24, 2022, or the start of the Palestinian conflict on October 7, 2023. We ignore the contexts that bother us and wage conflicts we do not understand. That is why we lose our wars…


In Russia, unsurprisingly, the principles of the military art of the Soviet forces inspired those currently in use:

  • readiness to carry out assigned missions;
  • concentration of efforts on solving a specific mission;
  • surprise (unconventionality) of military action vis-à-vis the enemy;
  • finality determines a set of tasks and the level of resolution of each one;
  • totality of available means determines the way to resolve the mission and achieve the objective (correlation of forces);
  • coherence of leadership (unity of command);
  • economy of forces, resources, time and space;
  • support and restoration of combat capability;
  • freedom of maneuver.

It should be noted that these principles apply not only to the implementation of military action as such. They are also applicable as a system of thought to other non-operational activities.

An honest analysis of the conflict in Ukraine would have identified these various principles and drawn useful conclusions for Ukraine. But none of the self-proclaimed experts on TV were intellectually able to do so.

Thus, Westerners are systematically surprised by the Russians in the fields of technology (e.g., hypersonic weapons), doctrine (e.g., operative art) and economics (e.g., resilience to sanctions). In a way, the Russians are taking advantage of our prejudices to exploit the principle of surprise. We can see this in the Ukrainian conflict, where the Western narrative led Ukraine to totally underestimate Russian capabilities, which was a major factor in its defeat. That is why Russia did not really try to counter this narrative and let it play out—the belief that we are superior makes us vulnerable….

I shall now quote The Wombat.

Let me remind you, Anon, of the following:

  1. The USSR lost the Cold War.
  2. The Tsar lost to the Bolsheviks.
  3. In both cases, "The West" knew exactly what to do to beat the Russians, they executed on that plan- and they are doing it again right now. The Russians have learned NOTHING from these events.

If you need to have it explained to you, then I will Explain It Like You're Five.

Ukraine is the Warlock pet. Russia is the NPC target. The West is the Warlock. Send in the pet to get the target's attention, load the target up with Damage Over Time effects, and keep direct actions below the threshold of the target's notice (draw Aggro), and let the DOTs do their work until the target dies.

In geopolitical terms, "DOTs" are financial and cultural subversion campaigns that wreck the target's economy and society. Ukraine is a proxy state put up to the task by Thralls of Empire aligned to Globohomo, and direct action is financing and equipping the proxy state ("pet management" for you MMO veterans) just enough to keep things going but not enough to become a problem after the fact.

It's not like Moscow doesn't notice anthing. The problem is that Russian elite culture is the end result of Russian security culture, which is itself an institutional memory of being subjugated by the Golden Horde.

The problem is that Globohomo's institutional memory extends well before 1991. It remembers how it used Lenin as an agent to knock the Tsar out of the first world war. It remembers how it exploited Gorbachov to win the Cold War. Globohomo knows all of that about Russia elite and security culture. That is what it exploits to beat the Russian state time and again, around which specific circumstances are accounted for to formulate and execute specific plans to get those wins.

Right now the specific circumstances are that Russia's economy is in the shitter and has been for years (but carefully hidden outside of the Moscow-St. Petersberg axis that it uses as Potemkin Villages to sell outsiders on Russia), its elite corruption is out of control (which filters down to the grunts getting what graft they can), its demographics are as bad as China's (i.e. crashing like the Hindenberg), and it is severely security-axious due to losing so much border control post-USSR.

Russia had to invade Ukraine. Russia has to keep Belarus on-side, as well as the 'stans of Central Asia, while inching closer to reestablishing that former border.

Globohomo knows this. Ukraine was a trap.

Globohomo does not care about Ukraine or the Ukrainian nation anymore than it does Russia or the nations within Russia. They are cogs to be used until worn out, then replaced with new cogs.

Globohomo seeks to finish the job it began in 1991, but Putin interrupted when he seized power. Globohomo will succeed because it has already inflicted killing damage to both the State and the nations.

It is not that Globohomo does not know the Russia way of war. It most certainly does, and it is using that knowledge again to beat it a third and final time. Once that is done, the looting will resume and the European Union wing of Globohomo in particular is just chomping at the bit in their eagerness to tear the Russian state apart into a suite of far smaller, weaker, and therefore controllable chunks- with North American support, of course.

This is no longer a question of "If", but "When" and "How". Putin will soon realize that he has to use Russia's nukes to compel an acceptable settlement, and if he finds that Russia's nukes are as badly rotted by corruption as China's are, Russia is fucked.

Right now we're in the tri-state arrangement of 1984. Within a few years, Globohomo will again be the only power- and which point the only threats are internal.

That is dangerous, because Globohomo will also be exhausted and cannot tolerate unrest in the time it needs to rest, recover, and ready itself for the next episode.

That is when Empire falls- and not before. Colonel Bagette is high on copium.

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