Wagner Group was said to have attempted a coup against the Kremlin this past week, ending yesterday. It wasn't anywhere near what was expected.
Instead, what we got was aggressive negotiations between the sovereign and his courtiers.
This would be confirmed:
Former supporter of Prigozhin about alleged agreement between Prigozhin and Russian authorities:
"Now it's finally allowed to say the three things he's been promised. 1. Shoigu's resignation. 2. Amnesty for "musicians" [Wagner mercenaries]. 3. The possibility to return to… pic.twitter.com/FMPiq1vUR1
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) June 24, 2023
But one thing for certain was that the most Globohomo-friendly result was not on the table.
The only thing that would have resulted from Putin being removed from power is that someone just like him, but far more hardcore, would move in and the war would escalate greatly as a result. A successful coup would only have made things worse.
Instead, what we have here is the use of a mutiny against the Ministry of Defense to disguise the fact that Lukashenko played the cutout between Putin and Prizgoshin to resolve an internal political dispute between Kremlin factions. The Neo-Tsar used it to get rid of a bothersome courtier who wasn't delivering the goods. Wagner is the only successful element on the ground for Russia, and Putin isn't stupid so he made the obvious move to rearrange the court to deliver what he wants.
The consequence is that the Russian military will become more aggressive, not less, and strategic objectives will be amended to gut Ukraine post-war by guaranteeing its inability to support itself by seizing its arable land (agriculture) and industrial assets (sea access, industrial plants) which is symbolized by taking Odessa. Under-handed policies of using Russian minorities abroad to foment unrest in vulnerable states will also escalate (look out Moldova), forcing Globohomo to divert resources away to deal with them (because if they don't, the unrest will be escalated).
Putin now relies on Wagner for his power. That's dangerous, and Putin is playing a dangerous game; past Russian dynasties fell due to court power miscalculations like this as the Romanovs found out the hard way. Expect the war to escalate once this has shaken out, but make no mistake this is trading short-term strength for long-term brittleness; the collapse of the Russian Federation was not prevented today, but rather accelerated and as the second-order effects manifest that will become obvious.
Now let's see if the similar political stability issues in China take a similar turn.
Ex-Stratfor man Peter Zeihan addressed a pair of viewer questions about Putin and Russia this past week.
This is what the pro-Russian side avoids like the plague, including dissidents like Vox Day.
Remember Peter's business. He advises Western governments and corporations on geopolitics, using his former Stratfor links to supplement what his staff can acquire in the open, so he talks to Fellow Travlers in Globohomo- not to enemies and rubes. Furthermore, his continued business requires him to be precise and accurate. He has to tell the truth to get paid.
This means that he has to cite his sources and provide recepits, which he does in his public-facing publications and refers to in public-facing video and audio media like this, which the curious and skeptical can look up for themselves to see what he's seeing. This leads to independent confirmation of his claims.
The pro-Russian folks cannot refute these claims. They know that each and every one of them is true, correct, and verified time and again as such.
The only hope that both Russia and China--the rival Imperial powers to Globohomo--have is relently psychological operations, specifically demoralization operations, using dissidents and the disenfranced as Useful Idiots to push that Narrative Warfare angle. This includes De-Dollarization and Western Collapse.
Long before Globohomo collapses, both China and Russia will shatter and fall. They already are far shakier than the West, with currencies that no one wants, and only their shills and their own propaganda outlets are serious about the West losing hegemony. Independent outlets are not pushing this; they know it's bullshit, even if they would otherwise be sympathetic.
The tell? They do not do what Zeihan (and others like Lei of Lei's Real Talk) do: SHOW RECEIPTS. You are expected to take their word for it OR ELSE, and this is most blatant with the CCP Shillsphere.
Remember the pattern: Each Imperial power lies about themselves and tells the truth about their enemies. The lies about themselves that China and Russia push is that they are better shape than Globohomo; they are not- both are far, far worse across the board and it's getting harder to hide it. The truth is that the West is weak and in decline; that is true, but the West is still able and (given certain internal conditions) willing to arrest and reverse that decline- but those conditions will not come. Neither of the rivals can do that.
What remains the case is that it does not matter if Russia wins in Ukraine. They have already lost the peace; Russia is a dead empire walking, and China is soon to follow.
Empire falls. First in the East. Then in the West.
An unexpected this happened this past week. Alexensual explains.
Professional gamers are not known for being hardcore political ideologues, especially those who play Normie-facting games like the Call of Duty franchise.
For all intents and purposes, we're looking at a Normie saying Normie things to a corporation converged by the Social Justice Warrior Death Cult and in thrall to Blackrock and the DEI and ESG regime.
As you are now aware, they use homosexuality as a cultural weapon against a targetted population. They do this to cloak--however poorly--their aim to seize the children of that population and render them up as sacrifices to their demonic masters, who are in turn in thrall to Empire- and ultimately to The Enemy.
All Nickmercs said was "Leave those kids alone".
Activision-Blizzard said "No, we will not. We will actively prey upon those children and violate them until they either turn into one of us or they are slain on the sacrificial altar to our gods."
Activision-Blizzard is PRO-CHILD RAPE, TRAFFICKING, AND SACRIFICE.
They said it by their deeds. The only way it could be more brick-to-face obvious is if they said exactly what I put immediately above.
This is not about profit--their shareholders are pissed--or about ethics. This is a demonic cult, engaged in religious warfare against a hated enemy- YOU AND YOURS!
You can no longer claim ignorance. You continue to use their services and products at direct peril to your souls. They are Thralls of Empire, and they are coming for your children. The least you can do is to cease giving them your time, your attention, and especially your money- and to pressure others to do the same. There are clean alternatives to everything they have. Use them.
This is the final, inevitable, step to take when resorting to "Fork and Replace".
It is not enough to fork and replace Thrall-captured institutions because the Thralls will use the power that they have to seize the replacements. Therefore dissidents across the West--because the Thralls have patronage networks that cross international lines, as it is a global network--must make the ultimate Fork And Replace move: to fork off their own patronage networks and use them to seize power and replace the Thralls.
Everything I posted previously about internationalizing dissident nationalist efforts as the route to victory is now brought into sharp focus because the practical end is as obvious as a brick to the face.
Yes, some of you dissidents are doing good work. Some of you are proving to be effective in your own spheres, but your connections are tenuous and not just due to the combination of opportunistic grifters (e.g. Ethan Ralph) and Imperial assets (can't really call them agents; agents run assets) like Baked Alaska mudding the waters for their own benefit.
Operating on your own, in your own spheres, more or less isolated means that you can--and you will--be picked off one by one as the Thralls of Empire can mass their superior numbers to swamp you in a literal and metaphorical Zerg Rush that burns through what defenses you have before you can do jack shit to stop them.
Operating as a network, as a team, as a unit you can not only mount an effective resistance to the Thralls of Empire where you are but wherever they are- and, remember, there are three competing cliques of Empire's Thralls AND ALL OF THEM MUST GO!
Dissident discourse must shift towards creating and linking up patronage networks into a parallel international network immediately, with the objective and seizing and holding power from the Thralls permanently.
Over this past week, Black Pigeon Speak (aka Felix Rex) posted this on Twitter (and Telegram):
Antifa and BLM burn down cities. Election results highly questionable. Lockdowns and COVID induced hysteria. Transgender in a beer ad. This is the hill that the right decided to die on? Can somebody please explain this? pic.twitter.com/SyCuoO2VdK
The answer is this simple: they didn't care until it directly AND IMMEDIATELY affect them and what they care about.
This is a well-known thing, especially in Public Relations, and that means that the Thralls of Empire know it too. So do a lot of dissidents, as acknowledged by the term "mask off"; everyone that knows this also knows that you do not make pushes like this unless and until you believe your position to be secure against counter-attack.
Respectively:
Most of them neither suffered from the Floyd Riots nor know anyone that did.
Most of them either do not comprehend how elections work, do not care how they work, or were in a place where the results did not matter.
Corona-chan's world tour did not bother them, for one reason or another, and it was out of their control anyway.
But purchasing product is entirely within their control, and Bud Light is a well-known brand that a lot of them do (or did) drink. This directly AND IMMEDIATELY affected them.
That's all there is to it. The consequences were too distant, or too impotent, relative to themselves to get them mad enough to act until Bud Light stepped in it. This is also why there wasn't much pushback until the troons came for their children, as we see now with the Target pushback.
What BPS also ignores is the pushback GOT RESULTS. No, not the full results that would actually put a permanent stop to it, but the results that made the immediate pain (and disgust) stop. Lest we forget, there's already Thralls whining about both Bud Light and Target backing down from this push.
Target doesn't have a fortress balance sheet, a diversified portfolio of brands, or a large international business insensitive to the dynamics of a boycott.
If your goal is to "draw blood" via coordinated consumer action, Target is the boycott to focus on. pic.twitter.com/IeQMyU4hFE
The Thralls have a playbook about this. We're seeing them begin to deploy the second stage--the first being to find the boundary by pushing until they get pushback--and now out comes the shaming and gaslighting to frame the pushback as low-status social behavior, backed up now by state power in places where the Thralls hold such positions and by financial fuckery where it does not.
If they are successful, they will mute this pushback and use that reaction against their enemies to further push them into submission or destruction. I don't think that they will, and that's because more Normies are having encounters like this.
Taking my kids to the Louisville Zoo.
In the parking lot, right now, is a “trans woman” aka a man presenting himself as a hideous woman with his family.
It’s not enough to stop this nonsense with kids.
This should be totally outlawed in a decent society.
— William Wolfe 🇺🇸 (@William_E_Wolfe) May 27, 2023
The troons--as promised--are coming for their children. Normies will not tolerate this. You will see the troons, over time, gain only where they currently possess the patronage of the Thralls; where they do not, expect them to be run out with increasing intesity.
This is a painful lessons for dissidents to hear, but they need to hear just as they need to see it: you can't get through to Normies until they are directly and immediately threatened or harmed by the Enemy.
I've accumulated a regular list of China Watcher channels over the last year or so. Here's my regular rotation:
The China Show: This is the creation of the ADV China duo, and they stream live on Fridays at 4pm Central Time. Clips from these streams go up on a separate channel, China Fact Chasers, and both men put up topic videos on their own channels (SerpentZA, laowhy86). The ADV China channel (which is archival footage from their years in the Mainland) is still up.
These two men speak Mandarin fluently, are married to (and have children with) Mainlander women, and combined have 30 years of first-hand experience with China and how it really works. That's why they are so effective at countering CCP propaganda, especially the stuff put out by CCP Shills, and they show recepits (in video form, hence why ADV China is a big deal; that's the recepit pile). Aside from that, they are shitlibs and never apply any of the skepticism to anything Western, which comes out now and again in their live shows; so long as you see them in their lane, you can rely on getting good info.
Lei's Real Talk: Lei is an expat Mainlander that defected to the West. Mandarin is her first language, and she too knows how China actually works. Her perspective allows her to break down how the CCP operates in terms common Westerners can understand, and she is also good about showing recepits. She streams a few times a week and does stand-alone videos on the same channel. Always a pleasant and informative time with her. She's also a liberal, but she also rarely slips out of her lane so you rarely notice it.
China Update: A business-focused channel by a Westerner expat in Shanghai that is not afraid to tell it like it is. He walks a knife-edge because he is monitored, but he also shows recepits in his reports and that shields him from most dangers from the CCP; because he sticks to what officials says in public, and cites available data, to a foreign audience (i.e. not Mainlanders in China) he skirts the "starting quarrels/spreading rumors" statute just enough to avoid getting pinched.
China Observer/China Insights: Channels that show video that covers the same topics that the other do, but also shows locals talking about it (with subtitles). This is a supplement to the three above, good to show by example things talked about such as how horrible Chinese construction is ("Tofu-dreg") or how terrible the economy is.
China Uncensored: This is a biased pro-Western channel, no doubt about it, but nothing shown here is contracted by the insider channels above. Not that they give the US any slack; they have a US-centric sister channel all about that. They are pro-Taiwan and pro-Falun Gong, and being more sensationalist the recepits are lacking; they make up for it with interviews with people the other channels would or could not get.
This means that I avoid CCP media as much as I avoid Globohomo. Just as I shun CNN, the BBC (and its Commonwealth counterparts), ABC/NBC/CBS (and their sister networks) so do I shun CGTN and other CCP outlets. I also avoid "independent" pro-CCP channels like iChongging; they're CCP Shills, some of whom (like i-boy) are paid agents of a hostile foreign powers. The China Show is at its best when it hammers this beat and exposes them.
These White Monkeys (as they're known) sucker well-intended dissidents into becoming assets of the CCP Shillsphere by conning them into buying into the CCP line. This is where I put The Duran, for example, and even Gonzolo Lira. I put Brian Bertilec and The New Atlas into the agent camp, because it's through him that those two got sucked in. (Lira sure ain't getting paid by either Beijing or Moscow; have you see his arrest photo?)
(Yes, Moscow plays this game also, but the CCP is better at it by far. Yes, I'm starting to collect Russia Watcher outlets; no I don't have a list to share yet.)
What Western dissidents need to realize is that all three Imperial powers play the Narrative Warfare game. Globohomo is the master, for certain, but dissidents need to see that Russia and China are no better.
The utility to grasp is this: all three powers lie about themselves and tell the truth about their enemies. That's the sickening thing about it all; when someone at the State Department talks about the Uigher Genocide, they're don't need to exaggerate. Both Russia and the CCP is getting better at hitting back with airing Globohomo laundry in response- but they fail to grok what actually does damage and what does not because their institutional Theory of Mind is dogshit (they do not, contrary to claims, understand the West), which is why their attacks hit like wet noodles so often.
This is also why dissidents need to build their own media outlets and networks. All of the established ones are held by rival Thralls of Empire competing for his favor.
There are three imperial powers, each with their own spheres: Globohomo, Russia, China.
Each sphere pursues imperial hegemony, despite all Rhetoric to the contrary, as shown by their deeds. To this end, each power maintains their own Narrative Warfare capacity, starting with state propaganda and media control and filtering all the way down to (defacto and de jure) political commissars and the use of banking access to reward and punish.
Unlike Orwell's classic work, the three powers are not equal in power. This past year has exposed how weak the would-be rivals to Globohomo, each of which seeks to displace it, are against it.
The Neo-Tsar Isn't Long For This World
Like it or not, Russia's performance in Ukraine exposed just how bad it really is. Like it or not, Russia also didn't have a choice not to do this either.
Zeihan--hardly a pro-Russian shill; he's ex-Stratfor, so he's pro-Globohomo--has consistently stated that due to geography alone the Russian state has always been imperial in its nature and thus has always pursued expansion until it hits and secures natural barriers (mountains, inland seas, ocean coastlines, etc.) that it can shore up after which it pursues an Artichoke Strategy (harden the borders as best as can be done to buy time until reinforcements from the interior can arrive).
The problem is that the Russia Establishment has always been given to despotic and decadent regimes ruling over impoverished peasants, even with the influence of Christianity. The Soviet Union, as with the CCP, was nothing more than another Imperial Dynasty- and Putin is now Tsar in all but name.
I am surprised that Zeihan is as even-handed as he's been about this, given his allegience.
The reality is that Russia should have delivered on their earlier boast, and they should have won by now, but they have not. Globohomo, sensing that their own plan to bring Russia back under its sway--which was the case in the 1990s--are as all-in on Ukraine as Russia is, because they have a clear plan of post-war action for Russia and this past week made it clear that Globohomo's going to get its way.
First, the plan:
41 new states will emerge from #ExRussia and the world 🌎 will be a much better place - and I prepare the strategic plan how to make that happen here in Washington pic.twitter.com/zpJlBvDmdx
From his bio: "Chairman Austria NGO Montenegro goes EUrope, Association for EU membership of Montenegro, Chair of Austrian Committee for NATO Enlargement for Kosovo, Ukr, BiH"
That's a guy that does the work (in the deniable manner Globohomo prefers) that state actors then implement as policy.
Oh, and check the date; that's less than two months ago. This is on the table.
Second, the grand display of Russian military prowess (that wasn't). Note: This is the NAFO crowd clowning on it, so they're going to be cruel- and they hate Gonzolo Lira.
I've seen better parades at home, and major professional sporting events have bigger displays. Jesus wept, that was pathetic. This was Russia's big world-class display of might and they didn't manage better than some of the famous parades under Stalin.
I agree with Zeihan: this is still Russia's war to lose. I also think that we ought to be looking at the scenario where Globohomo succeeds in bleeding Russia white (at the cost of bleeding Ukraine white, which is fine with Globohomo); their losses of men and material, while not atypical, are still far too much to afford given the already terminal decline of the Russian nation in demographic terms.
This is weakening Putin and his allies so much that regime collapse can't be avoided- and with that collapse, which will include the onrushing financial one (because, like it or not, the sanctions are working) Globohomo will rush back in to fill the power vaccum and (re)install their own puppets and all the faggotry we see in the West will be forced on them as Globohomo dismembers the Russian state into several smaller (and far, far weaker) states controlled via their finacial vulnerability.
Expect to see Vladimir Putin desposed and dead by 2030 at the latest.
Pooh Bear Knows He's In Trouble
This has Xi Jinping worried, and his own behavior reveals it.
The Chinese Communist Party just recently had its own internal faction fight concluded by Xi Jinping's faction taking out both of his rivals. Xi needed this unity of power to deal with the existential threats to the Party, and thus to himself, that are not merely on the horizon but rather are on-rushing like a tsunami.
Like Russia, China's demographics are terminal. (Both states make all of the West look like the picture of fertility by comparison.)
Like Russia, China's economy is export-focused and thus plugged into the global trade system; like Russia, this benefited a few and left the majority behind. Like Russia, the CCP did what it could to bullshit the world to believing otherwise. Unlike Russia, the CCP succeeded.
All of China's propaganda builds on a core tenant maintaining the appearance or seeming of meeting expectations over all else. This is the tell of the CCP Shillsphere; when you see someone hyping both Russia and China, they may talk shit about Russia but never about China- that's a CCP Shill. Globohomo, on the other hand, has learned how to hold containment on (and to use for its own ends) dissonence and dissent.
The reality is that the CCP's line about GDP and power projection is complete bullshit. Zeihan has maintained his position that China lacks the means to invade Taiwan, but may do so to solve internal conflict issues such as a collapsing economy- and that is the primary existential threat Xi Jinping sees as most important to deal with.
The problem is that his solutions are "Return To Mao", and that's a non-solution because it won't solve his demographic problem- and it is that which threatens the CCP and thus him foremost.
The truth is now slipping out into the Western media, filtering through specialist and independent channels; soon it will be mainstream, at which point Globohomo will have to exploit it or lose the opportunity to finish the job it began decades ago with Nixon.
Xi Jinping either launches a war on Taiwan by 2025 at the latest, or he follows Vladimir Putin into being deposed by about 2030 and with it the CCP either goes or becomes a skinsuit for whatever Globohomo installs to fill the power vaccum.
But How Can You Say That?
It clicked into place when I read Imperium Press's Substack article about how Globohomo is going to obliterate Africa ("The Third World's Going To Cop It") and the precursor that explains the basis for the latter ("The Mithriades Strategy").
Summarized, it is this: Globohomo wins because its elite has built up a strong tolerance to the poz it pushes on its enemies, both internal--that us, dissidents--and external (Russia and China). The Russian and Chinese elites recognize the threat; the tell is in the laws against degeneracy that they enforce, and the severity of the punishments.
The other element, which the two aforementioned imperial rivals recognize, is how Globohomo spreads its influence: through media, cultural manipulation, then followed up by financial dependence (as if intentially hooking girls on heroin to turn them into your whores) and installing Thralls of Empire to run the new imperial province.
This is a degree of evil that few even recognize as such, and neither Russia nor China have the cultural capital required to fight off the Globohomo infection. We are watching someone bitten by zombies slowly turn into one in real time despite their best efforts to stop it because of their own blindspots cutting them off from employing the means that actually work.
(Note: You Western dissidents are just as bad about this, just in different ways.)
In any event, if there is no major war by 2025 then there will be no major war at all this century- not by state actors. The only war possibility thereafter shall be one of insurgency against a victorious global imperial hegemon.
So How Do We Handle It?
Predators starve when they can't find prey.
Don't be where they are, and support the holdouts as best you can. The problem of Empire is the problem of the undead: what happens when the vampire can't get to the blood it needs to feed? It starves, it withers, and so weakened it can be speared and dragged into the sun to burn to ash.
You're not going to do than with just the power of friendship and a well-maintained rifle. You need a collective of some sort, and you need a superior religion.
For we in the West, this is Christian Nationalism. Empire is of the Enemy.
