Sunday, November 20, 2022

On Antifa

Antifa showed up again recently to protect another Drag Queen Story Hour event.

People showed up to meme on them. Certain people, like Mystery Grove Publishing, objected to this as ineffective. I pushed back, pointing out that Antifa showing up as an armed milita is not a leading indication of Death Cult convergence and subordination to the Globohomo Regime, but rather that it was a lagging indicator; by the time stunts like this go down, the enemy already seized control of the area.

TLDR: You don't see this-

-without this preceding it.

That is Minnesota Attourney General Keith Ellison. You'll find his son in government in the Twin Cities, and said son boasts of having been on the street.

As Beige Shiba explains:

They're basically a paramilitary, most of the people commanding them are literally plain clothes cops. Just about everyone involved knows this and is totally cool with it.

Again, anything the US Government isn't able to do themselves legally, they just spin up some sort of non state actor to do it on their behalf. Sometimes it's an NGO, sometimes it's a tech company, sometimes it's a crustpunk paramilitary group.

That's what Antifa is: a deniable paramilitary asset to be used for murking opposition that Globohomo can't use the State to eliminate. For you WW2 fetishists, think of the various deathsquads that followed the military advances and genocided Desiganted Demographics because the sponsoring regime said so. That's why Antifa is a lagging indicator; they have to have State protection to function as intended, and when this is not in place you find Antifa failing spectacularly.

What does this mean? If Antifa is anything but a joke, then where you live is Enemy Territory.

Using Lawfare against Antifa means getting smacked with Federal hate crime issues, media hitpieces that excuse being unpersoned online and your bank accounts seized (remember the Canadian trucker convoy), and tortious interference in your business affairs no matter what they are--jobs lost, clients drop you, contracts cancelled, etc.--because they don't want that attention on them.

There is something to note, however. Like all paramilitary death squads--which is what Antifa is; just as Kyle Rittenhouse--they are prepared for, and train for, open opposition against forthright (and often naive) targets. Against targets that make the trees speak Finnish, the jungles speak Vietnamese, or the mountains echo in Pashtun they either run or die.

That, dissidents, is what you have to accept when you confront Antifa: you are dealing with a State-supported death squad. You are already defacto criminalized if they show up to fuck with you. You do not deal with them by being the Sheriff. You do not deal with them by being Rambo. You deal with them by not being seen or heard as you make them disappear into your compost pile, because they are a Counter-Insurgency Death Squad so you better be a better insurgent if you want to deal with them.

"But that's illegal!"

Again, Beige Shiba in a one-two punch:

You are not voting or suing your way out. Your existence is illegal. Deal with it, do what it takes to win, or suffer the boot.

Sunday, November 13, 2022

A Look At Globohomo's Best Narrative Warrior

I'd been looking for sometime for a Globohomo perspective that articulates its objectives in clear language, the sort that one used with friendly audiences. Peter Zeihan has proven himself to be that mouthpiece.

For all the explanatory power that we have from men like Richard Grove their media creations that synthesizes source documentation into digestible intelligence, hearing those same sentiments from the enemy's own mouth has far more power and that's why finding Zeihan was a boon for me.

It does not matter if Zeihan is a practicing cultist, a mere true believer in the secular materialism he speaks of, or a cynical opportunist that's playing a very long con; the result is the same regardless of the motive- he is the most effective speaker for Globohomo that there is at this time. The biggest tell that he's The Guy, as it were, is in the sheer number of low-effort YouTube channels that make money off taking audio clips of him and setting them--often with poor auto-generated subtitles--to stock footage.

The result is that his take is now widely distributed and readily available. What is below is typical of this sort of thing.

Because of the Ukraine War and the Taiwan situation, he's been asked a lot about both countries this year. They are both big players in BRICS, the association set to counter Globohomo, and men like Vox Day have long said that these two countries will team up to take down Globohomo. What that neglected was geopolitics and intergenerational logistics, the things Zeihan is good at. Below are Zeihan on Russia and China on these matters. TLDR: They're screwed, so Globohomo can just wait them BOTH out.

What I want you to get is not just that Zeihan is conducting Narrative Warfare, but that he is one of the best at it and that the anti-Globo side has no one countering Zeihan.

Zeihan, far more than anyone else, is effective at communicating a narrative of Globohomo victory. Like many competent Narrative Warriors, he uses facts to spin a narrative. The trick? His are independently verifiable, which means that they are not just disconnected facts but a body of evidence. That additional credibility is what puts Peter over the top and allows his mask slips to not harm him and instead paint George Galloway, The Duran, New Atlas, and other anti-Globohomo counterparties as incompetents to be ignored.

Narrative Warfare is about credibility because credibility is what allows you to build a solid narrative frame. Zeihan, whether he knows it or not, is effective because of this; he tells a tale without going into spewing bullshit because he knows that anyone serious about rebutting his claims can't get past his evidence. To counter him you either have to get better evidence or you have to build an alternative frame, and so far Globohomo's enemies can't get the former at all or succeed with the latter without massive hard info control that is also easy for Globohomo to use against them- and it does, just look at how the CCP gets knocked around for its propaganda regime.

So what is that Globohomo narrative that Zeihan explains? It has to do with The Great Reset.

"The US is all set to go it alone."

That's not just geopolitics, that's Globohomo's intent now that the leap to China is a no-go. (That, by the way, is what Xi Jinping really did; he stopped Hu and Jiang from letting that happen.)

The idea is to wreck the globe again, reindustrialize the US, reinforce Canada and Mexico as its bitches, clear out Asian and European influence in the Americas and then repeat the post-WW2 rebuilding process. That is the Great Reset.

To ensure that there's enough cheap labor at home, the borders are down and in they come- and are dual-used as street thugs against the American nation that hasn't already taken the ticket. This is why the anti-White stuff is going on here and in Europe; once the US is secured, the rest of the West will be Brazilified into a racial caste system with Loyalist (((Fellow))) Whites on top and any non-Whites will be similiarly comprised of ticket takers like Sunak in the UK.

They're anticipating the population crash and the loss that goes with the Boomers dying off. Globohomo seeks to use this period of retrenchment and global chaos to complete the foundation for a new, globalized, Tower of Babel with themselves on top and the United States as the metropole that is both the base and the pinnacle of the Tower- a Tower that is also a temple to Baal and Molech, so it is built upon and fueled by human sacrifice from infants to the elderly.

And Zeihan--who, in one of his mask slips, has dismissed this global elite class as a thing--is the man that sells it to the world.

Empire does not care what its host is. It can be Globohomo, Red China, a revaunchist India, a revivalist Aztec empire that emerges out of the drug cartels of the Americas, or whatever else you can imagine so long as it persists and can strive to fulfill its Satanic ends. Therefore Empire has a bias only insofar as it favors what it knows over what it does not, all else being equal.

And after what went down in the United States this past week, and Brazil before that, don't think that Globohomo is done yet. The cunning adapt.

BRICS just lost "B". If "R" goes down, "C" is next (and "I" doesn't get along with it) by which time "S" and "I" will see the writing on the wall and get back into line.

Logistics and demography--political ecnonomy--is the thing that can't be bullshat for long; you can't long-con this stuff. That's what Zeihan relies upon to make his calls that Russia and China can be waited out, which he explains with that aforementioned evidence to friendly audiences around the world and is why despite all sorts of fuckery out of D.C., London, and Brussels Globohomo remains the favor to win the present global power struggle.

It also explains all of their domestic fuckery--what they do, how they do it, and to what end--because the Tower of Babel needs cheap labor in abundance to get built in acceptable time frames (including all the sacrifices) and if they can also be used to take out domestic resistance then so much the better.

What you need to take away from this is the following: (1) if you want to beat Empire's best Narrative Warrior, study him and learn how to beat his best moves; (2) Man alone is insufficient to beat a demonically-empowered enemy; (3) Don't take what you hear at face-value, especially if you're inclined to like it, but test it to see if it is true lest you be deceived.

Empire falls. Just not on your timeframe.

Sunday, November 6, 2022

Narrative Warfare: Twitter Turnover & The Moment At Hand

No one denies that Twitter falling into the hands of Elon Musk isn't a major sea change in the realm of Narrative Warfare.

The question is "To what extent does Elon's seizing control change Twitter's direction in terms of Narrative Warfare."

Some, such as Vox Day and Anonymous Conservative, are pessimistic and not without reason.

Social media platform Twitter has made good on its warnings and slashed 50% of its workforce, the company’s head of safety and integrity Yoel Roth announced in a tweet on Saturday.

“Yesterday’s reduction in force affected approximately 15% of our Trust & Safety organization (as opposed to approximately 50% cuts company-wide), with our front-line moderation staff experiencing the least impact,” he tweeted, emphasizing that the team responsible for monitoring and preventing misinformation and harmful content on the platform has remained largely intact.

According to Roth, battling misinformation on the platform will remain a top priority for Twitter. The same goal was emphasized by the company’s new owner, billionaire Elon Musk, in his own tweet.

In short, while Elon excised a lot of the cancer--in the form of the sheer hordes of SJW Death Cultists enjoying sinecures or adult daycare fake jobs getting the boot--key agents remain in place and there is no reason right now to believe that they won't get turfed out in turn or otherwise brought to heel.

That said, there is a real fear among those same Death Cultists that got fired this past week such that many turned to Mastodon as a replacement without knowing what the Fediverse is or how it works. This has been hilarious to watch.

Furthermore, Elon's open push to turn Verification--the blue checkmark--into a paid subscription service that anyone can access (and prorated by location; it's cheaper in cheap countries) has freaked these street-level Narrative Commissars something fierce.

Consider the possibility that Elon can break Twitter out of Globohomo control.

The freakouts and the threat of financial deplatforming--threatened in the form of advertising revenue being cutoff, and the implied threat of payment processing access also being cutoff--are not theater. Those are the exact same gangster-style threats that we see being done to Kanye West and others who have, in a way that's as real as it is metaphorical, off the plantation.

What I am not seeing from other commentors--I'll embed Auron MacIntyre's podcast today below--consider is that Elon would resort to forging backchannel alliances with one or more of the major players lining up against Globohomo: China, Russia, BRICS as a whole (and thus the Gulf States and India). By using setting himself, and Twitter, in the liminal space between these players Elon could easily play them against each other and thus guarantee Twitter (and his) autonomy.

There is a moment--a window--where the efforts of ordinary people can nudge Elon one way or another with equal weight to far bigger persons due to how Twitter works.

Doing this successfully breaks Globohomo hold on a major Narrative outlet. Doing this supremely also keeps rivals with similar motives--such as the Chinese Communist Party--from turning this into "Meet New Boss, Same As Old Boss".

We are stupid to not seize this opportunity and put in some work to help make Empire fall.

Sunday, October 30, 2022

China Got Taunted & Millennials As Bombs

This week I don't have a single topic, but rather two to hit upon. I shall do each briefly.


I follow The China Show (and its hosts separate channels), China Update, and Lei's Real Talk for most China Watch needs. Respectively, these are channels by people who've been on the ground for 10+ years, somehow still on the ground, or a native that defected and so they know the reality of the CCP and Mainland China that CCP propagandists constantly deny.

(Yes, including you Vox Day.)

Lei in particular has done fantastic work this past week analyzing what Xi did last weekend how it shook out over this past week. I recommend hitting up her channel, but what I want to point your attention to is the series of reports on the United States changing its regulations on American citizens and Green Card holders working for Chinese (Mainland) chip companies. Specifically, they banned it; keep your job or your citizenship/residency- and everyone chose the latter.

That decapitated Chinese chip capabilities overnight. Chips are a high-status, high-value economic pursuit; the US just forced a significant loss of Face upon the CCP and thus upon Xi Jingping. It's not the chips that matter here; it's the loss of Face. That, moreso than anything else, is what is going to push China to invade Taiwan even if it turns out to be a pointless endeavor because that cannot go unanswered- not after Pelosi's trip earlier this year forced a similar loss of Face.

"Whadda gonna do about it, Winnie?"

Is it Globohomo goading? Probably. It's also a reasonable bet.

"But hypersonics!"

My brother in Christ, Mainlanders can't even make gear for the PLA with consistently competent quality; their battle rifles keyhole constantly, their fleet is more for show than ready to go, and those missiles are made with the same shoddy work that makes Taurus engineers freak out over how bad quality control is.

In short, coupled with the relentless bullshitting out of the CCP, we can't take that those missiles even exist- nevermind that they work, or are in vast numbers. We can say that what they have, they likely got from the Russians because Moscow does have them and we know because Moscow USED them.

I don't buy that a US-China War is an auto-win for China. I also don't think that the US military getting its clock cleaned early on is undesired by Globohomo; throw just enough meat into the grinder to get a massive propaganda win out of it, then use that pretext to funnel unlimited funds to the Military Industrial Complex to speed-run new production of new gear while using Emergency Powers to scoop up enough personnel to man them. We're about 80 years past WW2, so it's about time for another world-reordering global war; count on something like this to happen within the next few years now that Russia's Ukraine War is going to prove to be contained.

Generational Theory

Taken from a Discord server I am in.

Boomers & Millennials.

Some say that Boomers made Millennials in their image in order to be their Designated Heirs. I have come to think this is half-correct.

The reason it is correct is because all of the Boomer psychology traits are present. The missing part is to what end because the Boomer Furnace exists.

Consider this: Millennials are not the Boomers' Heirs. They are the Deadman Switch.

Take someone with the exact same psychological profile but deny them the ability to satisfy the narcistic urge that defines the Boomers and what do you get? Millennials. As there are no Boomers left to rage at for getting screwed, they take it out on everyone else instead.

All that the Boomers cannot shove into the Furnace will be theirs to finish off in a generation-long orgy of narcistic rage.

("Boomer Furnace": The practice of shaping all laws, rules, regulation, etc. around the wants and needs of Baby Boomers without care for the consequences because they must be satisfied OR ELSE due to the outsized power and influence they wield and fuck everyone and everything else both before and after them.)


As Boomers run Globohomo, Boomers are deciding to throw it all in the Furance while simultaenously promising Millennials that they get to take over. Due to how Millennials were brought up as meme-clones of the Boomers, they bought this bullshit as a cohort; the tell is how they treat Gen X, Gen Y, and Gen Z (like shit).

You can only run a con for so long. Sooner or later the conman has to pull his vanishing act if he wants to avoid the consequences for his scamming, and for Boomers that means making certain that there's nothing left after they're gone- it all goes to feed their entitlements.

By 2030 this will be brick-to-face obvious to Millennials, but by then it will be too late and Millennials as a cohort will fulfill their function as bombs tied to Deadman Switches by their Boomer progenitors.

You think it's bad now? It's nothing compared to what happens when a generation in their prime gets mad as a hive mind at being played- a generation that now holds power (because the Boomers handed it to them).

Wars within and without are going to go down. The Boomers will start them, but the Millennials will ensure that they get played out.

Yes, including the civil wars.

As Beige Shiba put it:


Because the Millennials are unable to be humble about themselves. The Boomers made them in their image, so the Millennials cannot admit that they were wrong. Gamma Male/Entitled Karen Rage as a cohort is a disaster for one and all.

They will blame EVERYONE ELSE, and because they will be in power they will make this EVERYONE ELSE'S problem.

Brightburn wasn't a creepy anti-Superman film; it was a fucking warning.

Sunday, October 23, 2022

All Hail Emperor Winnie (Ignore The Burning Hundred-Acre Wood, Pleb)

To no one's surprise, Xi Jinping emerged from the annual National Congress at the head of the Party for a third term.

Everyone knows now that Xi's aim to become a second Mao, and thus be a true Neo-Emperor of China, is all but achieved at this time. While this may be alarming to some, it is going to be necessary for Xi to deal with the imminent threats to the Han nation, to the Chinese state, and to the Party- and this is clear to anyone with so much as a cursory comprehension of the Chinese--Han--tradition of statecraft.

Xi Jinping seizes nigh-total power at a time when the Chinese state faces several natural crisis born of Party--and therefore state--incompetence.

  • China's freshwater supply is in a state of near-collapse as well as unfixably polluted due to industrial policies long in place. This in turn made China dependent upon fertilizer for its meager and small amount of arable land, which meant dependence upon Ukraine and Russia for potash and fertilizer. Whoops.
  • China imports most of its food from abroad, as its incompetence routinely ruins its own capacity to generate its own food supplies as well as wasting what it stores for emergency use due to such incompetence and corruption. (See its pig culls due to preventable disease and grain wastage due to poor storage policies and capacity.)
  • China cannot keep the lights on due to so much need for hydroelectric power, power decimated by the very same droughts wrecking its farmlands and making them vulnerable to the flooding that washes what good soil China has away. This in turn means more coal-fired plants coming online, but not fast enough or run well enough to fill the gap as well as promoting dependency on foreign coal such as from Australia.
  • China prioritizes high-status industries such as Electric Vehicles over guaranteeing its populations basic needs; Tesla gets power before homes in the cities. This has not gone unnoticed.
  • The real estate corruption via a nationwide Ponzi scheme--Evergrade and company--has tipped into collapse and now various tiers of government are intervening directly to keep the plates from crashing. Meanwhile, people aren't being housed in apartments that they paid for because work isn't being done.
  • The factional infighting has taking priority over political economic policy, such that nonsensical moves like Zero COVID continues despite it driving foreign talent and capital out of the country in a frightening exodus- making a shaking economy into a fragile one. (This policy, by the way, is directed at Xi's CCP enemies in Shanghai and the provinces as a way of flexing on them and centralizing power in Beijing.)
  • Earlier this year, Chinese nationals are banned from leaving the country unless the Party (via the state) explicitly permits it; no discretionary travel allowed. Passports are cut up by agents at the airports, and they are also cutting up foreign-issued residency cards (which is a problem because those are property of the issuing foreign state, not the holder- a diplomatic incident waiting to happen). This has not been lifted.
  • The anti-Taiwan Rhetoric has escalated while Russia's war with Ukraine has kept a lot of Western eyes fixed elsewhere. Leaders have moved to negate any possible advantage for such a move, such as control over Taiwan's chip manufacturing (which is superior to the Mainland by a country mile), and the PLA as well as the PLA Navy remains a less than credible opponent for a Western counter-attack (because if you believe that the CCP has working hypersonic missiles, let alone in the numbers needed, I have a bridge to sell you). They may do it, despite the price, if it relieves internal pressures on Xi regardless of the outcomes.
  • The demographic crisis is going to force the CCP to even more draconian measures to reverse that trend and quickly, none of which will sit well with outsiders or look good in foreign media, but Xi doesn't care about them. All he cares about is internal politics and his hold on power. All else can be, and will be, thrown into the furnace to power that ambition. This is the reality of Chinese statecraft.

We are not looking at a strong, confident China that will surpass the West. We are looking at a weak, fragile China that's one wrong step from falling into its own footprint at a speed that makes 9/11 look slow. If it were not for the weak, stupid, and feckless Thralls of Empire in Western governments that freefall would be happening right now followed by that favorite of Western Molech cultists, "the humanitarian intervention" that involves occupying key locations and making certain that what is needed to keep the looting (and the grift) going gets put into place to do just that.

What we shall see over the next five years is if Xi Jinping is ready to be more than a new Mao, but a new Qin Shi Huang Di. That is what it will take to survive what is to come, hold on to power, keep the Chinese state able to function, safeguard the Party through this mess, and when it's over the butcher's bill make Le Holocaust look like a schoolyard brawl (as is often the case in China).

But that's the best case scenario, and that best case still leaves the world with an exhausted China that is unable to exert power abroad and likely suffering the full effects of that very demographic collapse. China's neo-Imperial ambitions are DONE.

That just leaves Globohomo and Russia. Empire doesn't care which party wins, so long as it has a viable host to dwell within. Ensuring that all possible hosts collapse is how Mankind gains the opportunity to end Empire forever, and if it does Empire falls.

Sunday, October 16, 2022

Narrative Warfare: Wielding The Power Of Cool

We have ourselves a Big Think to talk about, thanks to a post on Twitter this past week.

Go ahead, tell this guy that he's wrong.

He just gave you the cheat code for how Empire used its Thralls over succcessive generations to get, keep, and expand control over the nations that these Thralls dominate.

This is why the Culture War matters. It is wielding the power of social pressure via manipulation of what is High Status and what is Low Status in a given society in order to make the Death Cult morality acceptable to a population.

Yes, this means that the Moral Majority of the 1980s and 90s were entirely correct. Not only that, but their predecessors that decried unregulated social mixing in soda parlours over a century ago--leading to the genesis of contemporary "dating" (i.e. hook-up) culture--were also entirely correct.

The enemy openly acknowledged this power almost a century ago when Edward Bernays, Father of Contemporary Weaponized Psychology (and nephew of Sigmund Freud) that is Public Relations, said this in Propaganda:

The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. ...We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of. This is a logical result of the way in which our democratic society is organized. Vast numbers of human beings must cooperate in this manner if they are to live together as a smoothly functioning society. ...In almost every act of our daily lives, whether in the sphere of politics or business, in our social conduct or our ethical thinking, we are dominated by the relatively small number of persons...who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. It is they who pull the wires which control the public mind.

That was 1925, and said with the benefit of his time as an official propagandist for the Federal Government of the United States during World War I (along with Walter Lippmann).

What does Vox Day consistently say? "Most people only understand Rhetoric.", which is him paraphrazing Aristole. This is validated time and again by review the histories of Greece, Rome, China, and many other past cultures from around the world.

Men follow status and sentiment, not ideas; if you ever witnessed someone successfully steal credit for an idea that someone else expressed moments before, chances are good that you saw Status and Sentiment in action. The originator was lower in status and held in no or poor esteem by the crowd; the creditor held superior status and positive sentiment, so the same idea gets accepted when it was previously ignored.

This, by the by, is why optics matter.

You want to know what #Comicsgate succeeds? It's cool and its enemies are cringe. You want to know why the #OSR succeeds? It is cool and its enemies are cringe. #PulpRev is cool and enemies are cringe.

This also explains why Empire and its Thralls are so censorious. They cannot out-cool, so they use information control to artificially create the illusion--to maniupulate populations, almost all of which are only moved by Rhetoric--of them being cool and their enemies being cringe.

This explains so much seeming insanity. (Not all of it, but a lot.) Find out what a people deems cool and cringe, and you can hack their society and seize control of it. Get into that position and you can shape over time, like a potter shaping clay on a wheel, that society into whatever you want it to be.

Make Empire cringe, and Empire falls.

Sunday, October 9, 2022

You Are Already Paying The Price For Ignoring Foreign Affairs

If you cannot foresee second and third-order consequences to actions taken, you are not going to make it.

Since there are people, like the Balding God of Twitch--the slacker millionaire Asmongold--who claims that things which do not directly affect him do not matter, it is time to start making this clear to those people how such effects are screwing them harder than an IRS auditor to a political dissident.

First, for those that are all about following the money, this little report from TFI Global.

This report focuses on those second and third-order consequences. Making energy costs prohibitivesly expensive in Europe has corporations of sufficient size, none of which have any loyalty to any state or nation, casting about for cheaper alternatives to do business at least inconvenience and sure enough the United States is right there to take up that slack.

Offices close. Factories shut down. Employment craters, spending drops, causing a cascade of failure to ripple through Europe as the effects spread from major industry down to retail and local commerce. The economic collapse turns into a housing crisis as more people are thrown out of their residences or domicles, which turns into a humanitarian crisis due to increased stress on emergency services--already run down to a lack of funding and other resources--and people that can flee while those that remain get upset and start causing problems for the several European states.

The refugees flooding abroad spread the problem to other states and start imposing on the nations therein, making things worse there and threatening to spread the failure cascade wider, unless the states concerned start sinking the damned ships and instead cause international incidents that may instead take another route to international unrest if not outright war.

In such a scenario, apathetic slacker millionarires like Asmongold quickly find out that they are not as isolated as they think they are and therefore are not as insulated as they think they are either. Their lack of diligence in public affairs results in government officials deciding to weaponize those refugees against people like him in order to settle local political scores (and yes, oh Balding One, there are such officials that hate you enough to do it and you didn't have to say or do a damned thing to earn their ire; they hate you because you exist).

This sort of collapse is what went down in Weimar Germany, among other places post-World War I, and we all know what happened next.

Next, let's talk about the Retard In Charge in Ukraine and his insistence upon Poking The Bear. It is now known that Kiev takes credit for the bridge attack. Not that it did much good.

As the Didatic explains at length, this is meant to pressure Putin to over-react; the Russian population is furious and easily provoked right now, and Putin is the moderate in this situation keeping things calm and measured instead of going right into overdrive and allowing emotion to overrun reason- and thus be easily lead into traps. Putin's hold on power is iron-clad and his institutional support is solid, so this has not worked nor will it work in the near future.

War is a political act, but it is also an economic operation- and between the two, economics always wins. You can't fight with what you don't have.

The resorting to terrorism by Ukraine, including direct murder squads against civilians, is not the sign of a strong and victorious power. The well-known strategy of reducing Ukraine's military to dust by attriting it has had its desired effect; the tells are the ever-widening consription calls, including conscripting young women and old men, and if the Kiev regime is not overthrown the Ukrainian nation will cease to exist.

That madness, faciliated by Globohomo because Zelensky is a Thrall of Empire and thus takes orders from senior Thralls based out of the DC-London-Brussel axis, is summarized as "Fighting to the last Ukrainan".

Money, supplies, and weapons are sent to Ukraine; most of that goes right back out due to corruption and only a fraction actually gets used. Stockpiles are drawn down and need to be replaced, meaning more work for arms suppliers (in the US in particular) with political connections- especially as European options are forced out of business or out of Europe.

People flee the region, with the effects I point out above.

We all know about the lack of fertilizer and potash, which will screw over already bad wheat supplies further while other crop yields get kicked down the well and leading to a famine cascade over the next year- and that means more refugees flooding into an over-burdened West (because the East will sink the damned ships) and increase the stress therein, likely pushing it over to collapse and the cascade continues.

By this time next year, the Balding One will be complaining about everything being so expensive and inconvenient and he'll be wondering why when he isn't banning people in his chat telling him that it's directly due to foreign affairs that he steadfastly ignored because he didn't think it affected him when it already has here and now.

Even if you have no power to force officials to stop screwing over the nations they claim to serve, you still have the power to protect yourself by not being where the blow(s) impact because that is what the Thralls in the West seek to do with this course of action: slough off the consequences from themselves so that their internal enemies suffer all of the consequences while they get none at all.

This is now the revealed preference for how the Thralls in the West operate: they exploit the consequences of foreign affairs to rewards friends and punish enemies, and if you read this you're one of their enemies.

Those that pay attention to foreign affairs see these coming and are in position to avoid getting hit by them. If you can, you owe it to you and yourse to do the same, and thus those consequences will come back to the Thralls that provoked them because those effects have go somewhere. Remove yourself as a target, and they become it by default- and thus they own themselves, and in time Empire falls.