The following is taken from a Telegram channel, originally by George McMillan. Edited for clarity as required (which isn't much at all):
The recent Imran Khan rallies since his ouster 3 weeks ago needs to be placed into the ongoing historical significance of the Shia Revolution of 1978-9 in Iran, the Sunni Revolution manifested by the Grand Mosque Seizure of November 1979 in Mecca, the Russian invasion of Afghanistan in 1980, and the subsequent US CIA SOF support of the Mujahideen in the 1980s as portrayed in the movie Charlie Wilson’s War which put everything in the perspective of Great Britain’s great game of preventing the Russians from gaining a war water port since the Catherine the Great era of the Russian Empire of the 1800s.
The Pashtun's original territory was "from the Amu Darya (Oxus) River to the Indus River in Pakistan before the 1921 Durand Line of Control. The Durand Line became a national boundary with the end of the British Raj and the creation of Pakistan, India and East Pakistan which became Bangladesh in 1956.
The Punjabs and Sindhs ruled Pakistan for decades while the Pashtun were illiterate tribesmen living in the mountains of Western Pakistan and Eastern Afghanistan.
After the Shia revolution of 1978-9, the Sunnis in Mecca wanted a theocracy also where the Caliph is selected by a vote among the Imams.
Read everything about the Grand Mosque Seizure of November 1979. It explains how people from the Arabian Peninsula started funding radical Sunni Salafist/Wahabist madrassas and mosques all over the world, but they started in the Pashtun areas of AF/PK border because they are 7/10 lost tribes of Israel. In other words the Arabs, descendants of Abraham are uniting the other descendants of Abraham who "correctly" followed the right prophet path and accepted Islam.
Since 1980 people from the Arabian Peninsula funded the Sunni Salafist/Wahhabist mosques and madrassas in AF/PK in order to encircle the Shia Persians from the East side of Iran.
It was at this juncture that the Russians invaded to stop both Shia and Sunni radicalism from spreading North into the moderate Muslim Southern Republics of the USSR.
The Russians were not there to get the "warm water port" that the Anglosphere media purported and the movie Charlie Wilson's War portrayed it. The Anglosphere media portrayed the problem in terms of Peter Hopkins The Great Game 1990 perspective, which is in gross error.
The real reason why the Soviets were in Afghanistan was to stop the Sunni vs Shia rivalry from spreading into the Southern Republics as it did in Chechnya and Dagestan.
Because of the "Warm water port" theory the US and the UK started training the Pashtun Mujahideen fighters in 1980. The combination of the CIA and SOF training the Pashtun tactically and people from the Arabian Peninsula building the Sunni Salafist/Wahhabist K-12 Madrassas and adult mosques is what became The Taliban.
Since the Aran Al Qaeda was involved in helping the CIA and SOF train the Pashtun while also indoctrinating them into Sunni Salafism and Wahhabism it changed the culture from a more moderate form of Islam to a more radical Form.
But it also turned the illiterate Pashtun's of the pre 1980s into a literate and militarily and politically organized movement that now seeks to "have more children" and "out vote" the Punjabs and Sindhs in Pakistan.
The ouster of Imran Khan by the US, even though he is incompetent, might be the trigger point of causing the Pashtun uprising where the Taliban not only have control of Afghanistan, but have control of Pakistan as well.
(Omitted: A side conversion that includes George slagging off his fellow analysts for telling the shot-callers what they want to hear in order to advance their careers, instead of doing their job of providing reliable intelligence, resulting in US specifically and Western generally being incompetent in this area of the world due to being willfully blind.)
The Indians have been referring to Imran Khan as "Imran 'the Taliban Can' Khan for about a decade now as he went from being president to Prime Minister.
WION did a few shows last year after Biden announced the US withdrawal explaining how Imran Khan talked as if he was a spokesman for the Taliban. He was that much of a Taliban apologist.
It is in that context, along with fiscal mismanagement that Daleep Singh et al pressured the ISI to remove Imran Khan as the US supported Shariff the younger.
So if you know that Imran Khan is a Pashtun Taliban apologist, then it is not difficult to anticipate that he would immediately go to the Taliban stronghold for support to get back into power. Especially since it has been taught in the madrassas and mosques that it is a matter of time to outbreed the Punjabs and Sindhs and win a "democratic" election. In the four decade period since the mass funding of the Sunni Salafist/Wahhabist mosques in the Wazirastans, FATAS/KPK I do believe the Pashtuns have way more than doubled their population. I think they have the majority now in Pakistan, just like they do in Afghanistan. That is why this was predictable that the US administration's ouster of Imran Khan would predictably backfire.
But since Pakistan is an English speaking society as well as Hindi/Urdo, many of the radical Islamists have youtube videos in the topic in English.
"Let the Koran speak" is such a channel off the top of my head. Once you start watching this genre of videos on youtube then the algorithms will make more suggestions.
Black Flag of the Khorasan is another channel. There are a bunch on this topic in their own words.
The Indians can listen in both English and Hindi/Urdu. Plus they no doubt have plenty of Pashto speakers as well and monitor the situation as best they can.
There are Indians on this chat and this is an ongoing discussion with them as the US keeps making the situation worse by trying to make things better.
And I don't want you to "believe me," I encourage everyone to double check my sources even though it sounds like I am assigning "homework."
I figure the more people doublecheck and share sources the more we can all share information and learn together.
In context, the Pakistan and Afghanistan policies of the US have backfired over a four decade period, the recent Daleep Singh visit to India last month backfired and pushed Modi closer to Putin instead, the Ukraine and Georgia gamble to take over the Russian and Caspian Sea country pipelines will backfire, and al together the number of "backfires" will eventually add up.
Okay, let's put all of this into context. First, a map.
Look at who is on Pakistan's boarders: China, India, Afghanistan, Iran, and Tajikistan. That's two of the BRICS countries (China and India), the heart of Shia Islam (Iran), and Russia's backyard (Tajikistan). This is geopolitically important territory.
Therefore it is no surprise that Western spooks, especially the CIA, have had a presence here since Pakistan emerged after Indian independence post-World War 2. The ISI is, for all intents and purposes, a CIA appendage installed locally as a backdoor should the government in Pakistan get ideas about slipping out from the yoke of Globohomo.
It is also no surprise that Russian and Chinese intelligence, as well as Indian and Iranian, have presences therein. This is part of the Great Game's traditional playing ground and as such anyone with regional or global ambitions has a presence here.
That Globohomo has managed to completely screw things up here does mean that other parties, who have their own reason to control Pakistan, have an opening to take control.
No, being wholly independent of external influence is not in the cards; the reality is that the Pakistani Establishment is too weak to eschew external parties exerting power and influence over them because those parties are necessary for the Establishment to maintain their own positions. It's the same situation a lot of 2nd and 3rd world states are in; you can, at best, keep competing blocs' influences in check to maintain autonomy by playing one against another- and Pakistan is too weak to do that.
Whatever becomes of Imran Khan's attempt to nullify his recent ejection from power, what is clear is that multiple imperial parties will be manuevering for advantage in this important region of the world- a scramble that will go unnoticed in most of the world due to attention being directed to Ukraine or Taiwan.
It's been almost 80 years since the end of World War 2 and the establishment of the Globohomo world order. That's Fourth Turning territory, meaning that this disruption is not trivial nor divorced from the larger trends of such changes. Couple this analysis with the impact of the Ukraine War on global supplies of food, fuel, medicines, and other vital goods and you have a situation ripe for spiraling out of control and escalating into a major regional or global crisis- even a war.
We're in Guns of August territory, folks, and chances are good that we already had our Franz Ferdinand moment. Empire falls.