It's Christmas Eve today. I have family coming over to celebrate and exchange presents.
Therefore I shall do brief commentaries.
The Gulf
The US Navy losing the ability to gather support to suppress the Houthis as a unit is a sign of decline, but that doesn't mean that the Houthis are safe from reprising. That's billions--trillions--of Dollars in trade being fucked with. If state actors can't use state militaries to do the job, then state and non-state actors can cut checks to mercenaries to do so instead.
This is, as some say, a reversion to a historical norm. Yes, there are Private Military Companies out there ready, willing, and able to go hard on the Houthis for the right price (and after the check clears).
As it is, national navies are securing only ships owned by its citizens or bearing its flag. That doesn't solve the problem, which is Houthi piracy, and they will take weakness as an invitation for predation in due course.
Meanwhile, Israel is going Base Delta Zero on Gaza and no one that could is doing a damned thing about it. As much as people, some of whom I like and respect, complain about it their words fall on deaf ears not only due to tight Narrative control in the West but also near-daily own-goals by supporters fucking with the daily lives (and money) of uninvolved third parties (i.e. Western nations) in attempts to make them side with Gaza.
Not. Gonna. Happen.
Conducting banditry on the roads and in the streets is guaranteed to get people mad at you; keep at it long enough and they will excuse your summary execution by vigilantes. If these people didn't have State support, that would already be happening just to get back to normal daily life- which is under too much stress as it is in the West.
Ukraine
Zelensky is fucked. Ukraine is fucked. Globohomo does not care because Zelensky and Ukraine have accomplished the task put to it by Globohomo: to tank Russia long enough for the DOTs to tick past the point of no return.
Will Russia win? Yes. Will it be Pyrhhic? You better believe it; the demographics, combined with the economic damage sustained, means that victorious Russia bleeds out by 2040 at the latest. Having stupid people as proxies running their mouths about how Moscow wants to annex more ex-Soviet territory (validating Zeihan's claims) does not help at all.
Taiwan
China is making a lot of noise.
If you know Chinese military theory and history, this should relieve you of any imminent threat. The PLAN still has no capacity to execute an invasion for the PLA, and neither does the PLAF.
Winnie's still in Purge Mode, aiming at the Rocket Force in particular as being disloyal, is fearful of coup attempts since the last one years ago, and has descended into a Little Kim level of paranoia in his routine and dealings. He is more afraid of being couped by those near him than he is of foreign actors at this time, which is a repeat of Stalin, Mao, and Pol Pot.
Oh, and there's another "unspecified" public health crisis on top of a massive economic collapse- and yesterday's notice of goat-fucking the Gaming Sector (i.e. Tencent), which is now the remaining revenue-generator for the State since real estate collapsed and export-oriented business is in the shitter, so Mainlanders across the board are as demoralized as their Western counterparts (and thus as disliking the taste for war).
Guyana
Venezuela has its (totally not fake and gay, really) legal basis to roll the (lack of) tanks across the border, and if Guyana's military weren't an even bigger joke that would be morbidly funny.
But it is, so that's a real threat. We're in Phoney War territory right now as Maduro sees if he can scam his way to a win, but odds are good that he'll have to actually do some war crimes so expect that to kick off before too long.
Brazil is attempting to mediate, which says a lot right there, but Lula isn't a retard and is getting ready for Maduro to do the thing he aims to do. The Caribbean Community, the Andian Community, Mercosur, the Organization of American States, the UN, and a few other useless organizations are watching events. Don't expect anyone that could do anything (the US, France, the Netherlands, the UK- all of whom have interests in or near this conflict zone) until lead flies.
Totally Legit Western Governance
The Trump story (a) only concerns the PRIMARY election for Party Nomination in Colorado, (b) doesn't stop the CO GOP from nominating him anyway by another means, and (c) can't keep him off the GENERAL election ballot if he is nominated. Furthermore, the ruling is stayed (no effect) and would be reversed by the Federal Supreme Court anyway. Calm thy tits.
Ireland's already got people torching would-be invader housing. Good. More of that. Lots more of that. I would not be sad if the 5th columnists got the same treatment.
Rahm Emanueal is the US Ambassador to Japan. His mission, by his own confession, is to spread the poz and turn Japan fake and gay like the West. Pro-poz propaganda did not turn up until he showed up. Kick him out, and kick out EVERYONE that enables this dogshit.
Yes, Auron MacIntyre won his bet against Academic Agent already. The Woke won't be put away; they are the Death Cult, and they are in control of Globohomo now. They are mask-off, drunk on their own power, and see no reason to not keep the petal to the metal. AA's fucking retarded "Realists like Tony Blair will totally reel it in to save the Regime from itself" take is so much weapons-grade copium- and I will not pretend that it isn't.
Diversification
I have a Substack newsletter now, do subscribe if you please. I will set up at other places over the week between now and New Year's where you can support me.
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