Certain dissidents are prone to thinking of China as a bulwark against Empire. Vox Day, in an unusual display of bad judgement, is one of them.
This is a mistake, and the events of the past year have done much to dispel the illusion of China as a rising country and Xi Jinping in particular as a competent leader. Instead, what I have found is a man that is blindly emulating Chairman Mao and heedless of the consequences that Mao's policies, politics, and personal predilictions had upon China. (I am not yet convinced that Xi does know and expects to benefit as Mao personally did.) What I embed below is video evidence of China's chronic mismanagement and kleptocracy.
The result is that you have a criminal federation masquerading as a sovereign republic, and like all such organizations you have far more vicious in-fighting than anything meant against external targets; their chief enemies are their own people, not you or I.
Criminal organizations are not interested in risking their necks in direct confrontations, but rather in ensuring that what territories they hold are firmly held and producing revenue for the gang. It takes either displays of vulnerability to provoke predatory instincts to action or a dominating leader to get them to do so. This attitude is noticable and in time filters down to the street, which is one of the reasons for the cheapness of both life and property in China; it's gangland-style narcissism and short-sightedness writ large.
This means that Mammon rules China, and war is bad for business when the target is ready, willing, and able to fight. The PLA is not a warfighting organization; it is a gang, at best, in uniform and usually just a bunch of LARPing bullies and legbreakers hustling their way up and out. This organization is not capable of doing anything but wasting lives and resources, usually their own, and therefore if put to the test it will fold faster than Superman on laundry day.
Taiwan, India, Japan, and Australia are perfectly capable of coordinating defense against China and they're making it happen. Meanwhile, Vietnam again bloodies China's nose (they previously defeated China in a war in the 1970s) and other parties--including Russia--conspire to isolate China and keep it contained while it wrecks itself.
And then there's the financial and industrial collapse. With so much bound up into real estate in China, the collapse of that sector (and the lukewarm attempts to shield the population from the consequences, because the CCP doesn't care about the population) threatens to wreck the country right there but it gets worse. Manufacturing has fled from China over the last two years, the electricity grid is decaying due to the same poor quality construction as the rest of its physical infrastructure (such that they can't keep the lights on or the heaters running in some provinces), and working the people like dogs means that already shaking demographics are speed-running off the cliff.
Not that China takes these hits to its image--to its Face--lying down, but it can't do much and what it can do runs off playbooks that are outdated. Internally they're all but turning the country into an open-air prison (and using Hollywood dystopias as a blueprint because ChiComs have no imagination).
Chinese spook operations still work on the old Soviet playbook, which is one of the reasons Empire's agents in Globohomo have successfully overturned many nodes in schemes like the Belt and Road Initative, as the ChiComs are trying to ape Globohomo while not understanding how to make it work. It's the cheap Chinese knockoff effect in action, and it's very embarassing--a severe loss of Face--for their moves to be so easily thwarted. Therefore, it is more due to Globohomo not having its shit together that they get wins at all than anything else.
Every single time Globohomo or Russia decides to stick the shiv into China, it has done so successfully and without any real opposition.
And I would be remiss if I did not again give attention to the American-Afrikkar duo of ADV China, who had a combined first-hand experience with China of 30 years and have no problems sharing the reality of China and how that country works at all levels with the world. Below is yesterday's podcast.
These two, by the way, are the folks who first popularized the reality of the paper tiger that is China. "Tofu-dreg" construction, ghost cities (that are already falling apart) and more got known in the West due to them. They also exposed the core of Chinese propaganda towards the West: White Monkey Jobs, and it turns out you can become one unwittingly if you're not careful.
Yes, this is the ChiCom version of "taking the ticket" (i.e. selling out to Globohomo), and if one's pride is sufficient to overwhelm one's reason then you can fall into this without any real benefits being garnered; that's what Vox Day did, and why--once he finally accepts that he's wrong--he'll be able to extract himself from this own-goal of a mess.
This error comes from an observation some years back that, during the Deng and Jiang days, Globohomo approached the CCP (the whole "Elders of Wye" episode) with the offer of becoming the seat of Globohomo's empire--to make Beijing the metropole of the world--but slyly tried to play down that it would come at the cost of accepting the same second-class status as the current Professional Managerial Class with regard to who rules this empire. The ChiComs--being Han, and therefore Han supremacists--are as low-trust as the current rulers of Globohomo and thus did see through the scam.
They refused. A few years later, Xi Jinping rose to power and the fight was on. However, Globohomo is winning in China. If they are as fiercely nationalist as dissidents like Vox Day claim, and as sufficiently savvy as claimed, why this clear case of crushing defeat that will soon culminate in a Second Century of Humiliation?
Simple: both sides serve Empire, and Empire plays favorites. Once Xi is gone, one way or another, expect what Globohomo wanted--and almost got--out of China to return and the present situation to reverse, resulting in the Chinese population against being utterly subjugated in their own country to foreign interests despite whatever any Chinese state may claim.
Nationalists, in China you are watching a colossal failure unfold in real time. Pay attention, dismiss the lies of the CCP's mouthpieces as surely as you do Globohomo's, and listen to those with ears and eyes on the ground. If you want to avoid this fate for your own people, then you do not have the luxury of not learning from the failures of others; observe, analyze, learn, and implement for with every victory Globohomo gains they sow the seeds of their eventual fall.
And what that victory must use for its cornerstone will be addressed next week. Empire falls.
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